News by Levels · Level 3 · Student worksheet

Carbon Forecast Shows Contrasting Trends

In this lesson: Evaluate what a one-year projection does and does not establish.

Name: __________________________ Date: __________________

Read the story

The Global Carbon Project’s November 10 assessment projects a 0.4% decrease in 2026 fossil carbon dioxide emissions, while total emissions including land-use change increase.

The report says clean energy is not yet expanding fast enough to ensure a lasting fossil emissions decline. Its 2026 figures are projections, and the report initially appears as a preprint.

Source: Global Carbon Project, 2026-11-10. https://globalcarbonbudget.org/fossil-co2-emissions-decrease-in-2026/

Read and practise

1. What prevents a claim that total emissions are falling?

   1. Every source is projected to decline
   2. The report confirms a permanent fossil decline
   3. The assessment projects an increase including land-use change

2. Which claim goes beyond the assessment?

   1. The figures are projections
   2. A lasting fossil emissions decline is now ensured
   3. Clean energy is not yet expanding fast enough

Your turn

Explain why the fossil projection is not proof of a lasting overall decline.

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Read online: https://newsbylevels.com/news/global-carbon-budget-fossil-decline-projection-2026/level-3/